One of the most common measurements used by professional investors when they are comparing Forex funds track records is the standard deviation. Standard deviation, in this case, is the level of volatility of returns measured in percentage terms over a period of many months or even years. The standard deviation of returns is a measurement that compares the variability of returns between funds when combined with data from annual returns. Everything else being equal, an investor will deploy his capital in the investment with the lowest volatility.
What Is A Forex Trading Advisor / Manager?
A Forex trading adviser, or trading manager, is an individual or entity that, for compensation or profit, advises others on the value of or the advisability of buying or selling currencies for accounts explicitly for profit. Providing advice can include exercising trading authority over a customer’s account via a limited, revocable power of attorney. A Forex trading advisor can be an individual or a corporate entity. Forex managed account programs can be run by internal trading advisors, i.e., traders who work directly for the Forex managed account program or advised by outside managers. The terms “manager,” “trader,” “advisor,” or “trading advisor” are interchangeable.
The following is a fictional example of how a hedge fund would work with a trading advisor. A hedge fund called ACME Fund, Inc. has raised $50-million to be traded in the Forex markets. ACME charges their clients a 2% management fees and 20% of new equity highs as an incentive fee. In the professional trading community, this is called charging “2-and-20”. ACME needs to hire a Forex trader to start trading the raised capital, so ACME reviews a 10-different currency trading advisor’s track record. After doing their due diligence and reviewing the trading advisors’ key metrics, such as peak-to-trough drawdowns and sharp ratios, ACME analysts think the fictional firm AAA Trading Advisors, Inc. is the best fit for the fund’s risk profile. ACME offers AAA a percentage of the 2% management fee and the 20% incentive fee. The percentage that the hedge fund will pay an outside trading advisor is always negotiated. Depending on the trading manager’s track record and capacity to manage new capital, a trading advisor could earn over 50% of what the hedge fund is charging the clients to manage their funds.
Correlation And Forex Investments
Correlation and Forex funds investments must be well understood prior to making an investment. The term “correlation” is used to describe the relationship between two Forex funds investments. Correlation will define how to investments are related to each other. Correlation is measured by calculating the correlation coefficient. The correlation coefficient will always be a ‐1.0 to +1.0. If the correlation coefficient is a negative number, the relationship between the two investments is negative; i.e., if one investment moves up, the other investment moves down. A positive correlation coefficient is a positive number the investments will move in the same direction. If the correlation coefficient is zero, this would mean the two investments are not correlated and an investor can expect them not to move together over time. Ideally and investors portfolio should have a correlation coefficient of close to zero as possible. Forex investment funds will generally have a correlation coefficient very close to zero when compared to other investments.
Judging the Performance of a Forex Managed Account Trader: Is the Track Record the Only Thing that Matters?
Investors should take particular note of the Forex manager record of performance; however, this in itself should not be the only reason for choosing a specific Forex trading advisor. The disclosure document should spell out the Forex managed account manager market approach and trading style. This information should be carefully reviewed along with the track record when the investor chooses a particular Forex trader. Strong performance in the short term may be nothing more than good fortune. Positive performance over a long time., and over many trades, may indicate that the trader’s philosophy and style are more robust than his competitors. This is especially true if the track record includes periods of bull, bear, and flat trading ranges. It is important to remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
A few metrics to take careful note of when reviewing a track record:
- How long is the track record?
- Is it skill or is the fund manager lucky?
- Are the results sustainable?
- Worst peak to valley drawdown: Could you still make money even if the manager has a positive return for the year?
- Assets under management: Is the manager trading and an insignificant amount of money, or has his track record proved to be scalable and sustainable?